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Commonwealth Brewery Ltd

BISX: CBB · Consumer / Beverages · Bahamas
Valuation snapshot Model dated August 2026 Model by Mario Johnson
Price$10.10
Global fair value$5.51-45%
Domestic fair value$10.27+2%
Market cap$303M

BISX-listed brewer and beverage distributor in the Bahamas, majority-owned by Heineken.

Valuation

Current price$10.10
Global fair value / share$5.51
Global implied downside-45%
Global WACC11.2%
Domestic fair value / share$10.27
Domestic implied upside+2%
Domestic WACC (no country premium)6.9%
Terminal growth2.0%
Enterprise value~$299M
Market cap~$303M

Two lenses, one set of cash flows. The global lens adds the full Bahamas country risk premium, the return an international investor would require. The domestic lens starts from a Bahamas government bond and adds no country premium, the return a local investor, restricted by exchange controls from freely investing abroad, actually faces. The gap between the two values is that country risk premium.

Model inputs & financials

Revenue (FY25)~$128M
EBITDA margin (FY25)~16%
Capital structure~99% equity (lease debt only)
Equity beta0.35
Cost of equity (global / domestic)11.3% / 6.9%
Risk-free rate (US 10Y / Bah. 10Y)4.7% / 5.4%
Equity risk premium4.2%
Country risk premium (global only)5.1%
Minimum tax (Pillar Two, from FY26)15%
Shares outstanding30.0M

Valued with a full three-statement model and a discounted cash flow. Every assumption, forecast, and the complete build are in the model.

Published for informational and educational purposes only. Not investment advice, nor an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Figures reflect the author's own model as of the date shown and may change without notice. The author may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own research.